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Will America always be a superpower?

Will America always be a superpower?

As China continues to rise without any signs of stoping, it seems more and more likly that America is going to be second place. Will America fall into second, or will china succues stop and America will be number one until the next up and coming country wants to take first. What do you think?
1,739,091 views 596 replies
Reply #151 Top
http://foster.20megsfree.com/482.htm

tl/dr: No.
Reply #152 Top
LOL id like to see the EU try and take out the US militarily we kick ass. We spend 4% of our GDP on national defense while the EU spends 1.5% umm i wonder who will win?????Best troops anywhere is in America. why should i pay for somebody else to have health care. people should plan ahead, and if they dont they die weed out the sick.Are you being serious?Your caliber of ignorance baffles me.Our military DOES NOT kick ass, it stopped kicking ass as soon as other nations got nuclear weapons; with those, it really does not matter how many tanks you make in a month. You wonder who will win? Whoever pushes the button first. Plan ahead you say? Well I would love to see your schedule, let's see on which days of the year you plan on getting the flu. Or perhaps cancer? Can you plan ahead for that? Weed out the sick? God forbid you or a loved one of yours would contract a terrible terminal illness and you find yourself in a situation where, unless you come up with hundreds of thousands of dollars, you won't be treated. I'm sure in that situation you'll be taking all that you said. Heck, Perhaps you would even agree and say that the US should stop spending so much money on "the gun show" and more money on caring for its people because, after all, that is part of the government's job isn't it? What is the point of spending all the money in being able to fully defend your borders when everyone inside is dying? America and the rest of the world need to understand that "business as usual" is dead. Either humanity enlightens itself and unites as ONE; in true care for one another and the pursuit of things that matter (IE: Space exploration, scientific advancements) or humanity wipes itself out. Did you know? We are approaching that cross-roads very fast.
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There is a problem with what you said DuderSeb, are militray is the best in the world. look at how we did so well in desert storm, and Iraq. And do not say it was are alys, we were the main force in both and provided air support, we crushd Iraq twice. Also few nations have nuclear weapons, let me give you a list. U.S, U.k, France, Russia, India, Pakistan, China and maybe Iran and North Korea. All thos countrys would lose big time if they fired nuks (execpt South Korea). Also DuderSeb you act like we are spending all are money on the military, we spent more during the cold war. Also the health care thing, you act like we have some uper plague going on, we have one best health care systems in the world, also if you or a famly member have a terminal illenis, God forbade, I dont think alot of people would have enough money to spend on the
posibilty of a cure. Sorry but life is not always fair.
Reply #154 Top
CryaniaIV, I dont get what you are saying could you specify?
Reply #156 Top
If the US follows the constuition the way it was written and each branch does its job the US should last as a Superpower for a long time. And it we dont get a liberal as president.
Reply #157 Top
It depends on only one thing: If we move to a Democratic leadership, then yes, at least for quite a long while the U.S. will remain a Superpower. If we, however, continue down the path of the Warpublicans, the rest of the world will simply put us down- heck, they'll HAVE to- and we'll no longer have any prestige, control or respect.

The answer to your question is directly related to if you vote for "more of the same/right" or "back on the correct path/left" in November.

Eventually, once we become more universally enlightened as an entire species, we'll move away from the notion of countries and focus more on the entire planetary body. So eventually the notion of Superpower nations will be irrelevant. I wish I was around for that day now, but it will be thousands of years away, barring any major happening that unravels our societal structure as we know it.
Reply #158 Top
Foreign economies with a lot of room for improvement improve fast. Then they do not improve so fast. No communist country will surpass us as long as it remains communist.
Reply #159 Top
Interesting to read..especially the parts where people are against health care for everybody, it is a major achievement I think. I definitly prefer living in country which offers this to being part of a superpower (and I cannot see that it hampers economics - germany is not doing too bad). Where is the power when you get seriously ill and you cannot afford a cure which could help you??? Somebody wrote something about darwin and sorting the weak out. I do not know the words to say what I feel about this.
Reply #160 Top
CryaniaIV, I dont get what you are saying could you specify?
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he's saying that phosphorous is a chemical weapon. although, under that definition so are any type of firearm.
Reply #161 Top
CryaniaIV, I dont get what you are saying could you specify?he's saying that phosphorous is a chemical weapon. although, under that definition so are any type of firearm.
End of quote


I must of miss something, what does this have to do with America being a superpower?
Reply #162 Top
It depends on only one thing: If we move to a Democratic leadership, then yes, at least for quite a long while the U.S. will remain a Superpower. If we, however, continue down the path of the Warpublicans, the rest of the world will simply put us down- heck, they'll HAVE to- and we'll no longer have any prestige, control or respect.The answer to your question is directly related to if you vote for "more of the same/right" or "back on the correct path/left" in November.Eventually, once we become more universally enlightened as an entire species, we'll move away from the notion of countries and focus more on the entire planetary body. So eventually the notion of Superpower nations will be irrelevant. I wish I was around for that day now, but it will be thousands of years away, barring any major happening that unravels our societal structure as we know it.
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Lol, get off the (whatever you are smoking) and come down back to the present and reality.
Reply #163 Top
Country would do well with out Rep and Dem. We were warned against having political parties, that it would divide us. Anyways, I am all for whigs making a come back, or federalist. ROFL jk.
Reply #164 Top
Oh come on. The odds of the US lasting a decade in its current form aren't good, and the odds of them seeing out the century are virtually non-existent. America's only saving grace is its extraordinary incompetence. Describing them as having an 'empire' is a bit of a stretch, and at best can only be used in the context of a franchise style of 'empire'. While Americans make much of the penetration of their popular culture into foreign countries, it really is limited to movies, music, jeans and bad food franchises, and has minimal effect on foreign cultures.

They might want to consider developing functional health, welfare, education and justice systems before they get on with their plans for world domination. Maybe start small, like with a single kindergarten or something. Of course, learning where foreign countries actually are will also be a huge help next time they want to blow one up. Doing away with the creepy ultra-nationalist propaganda that passes for US media might also be of some benefit if they want to be taken seriously. Absurd euphemisms and laughably transparent sophistry aren't fooling anyone - except Americans, it would seem.

Seriously, the US couldn't organise a piss-up in a brewery. They're the national equivalent of a psychopathic fat kid that beats up little kids and steals their lunch money. Hopefully they'll continue to nuke themsleves in the foot repeatedly and the world won't have to unite and step in.
Reply #165 Top
Well, eventually everything will change. But it will change globally and not for the benefit of anyone. As climates change globally, food sources will become difficult to produce and populations will decrease rapidly in a short amount of time. Now, most capitalistic societies arent based on agriculture anymore, but all the money in the world wont fill stomachs.

As far as the US is concerned, if the US was non existant, food sources around the world would be greatly diminished. Places like Europe, Russia, China, India, Middle East, etc are significantly dependent on the food sources provided by the United States' "bread basket". Many areas of the world simply dont have the fertile land to feed the massive populations that are being produced and most nations, including many first world nations, cannot physically produce the volume necessary to feed their own populations.

Right now food is low on most first world priority lists due to its abundance. But capitalism is based on supply and demand and as climates change, crop yields will eventually diminish driving down the supply, while, at the same time, populations increase. It's an inevitability at present that things will change greatly eventually, but it doesnt bode well for the majority of the populace.

There is something to be said for a "free nation". More people are willing to contribute to the general information bank when they know their ideas wont be hindered or inhibited. Good or bad, the knowledge bank is far bigger in the US then anywhere else in the world. The internet definitely does benefit much of the rest of the world, but much of the information is used souly by the US populace to improve lives.

Anyway, long story short, the US does directly affect much of the rest of the world and therefore will always have its hand in everything.
Reply #166 Top
No empire lasts forever,

With regard to China, their economy has been vastly overrated. This has been news for a while now but it has yet to sink into the collective consciousness.
Reply #167 Top
somebody mentioned. America vs china(no nukes included) america looses...us population 300 million. Chinise woman military 400 million. heck if they just start katapulting bodies on us troops they would win.

America is and will remain a superpower for some time...but eventually same will happen with them as with all other that wannted uber rule, ala my culture is superior to yours-We are good guys all other needs direction...one will make way too many enemies, politicians will kiss eachother asses and all wars and invasions you started, no matter how much you belive are noble and politically correct will breed contempt against that country nation.

I hope us will remain superpower in my liftime, better the devil you know, than...
Reply #168 Top
Best troops anywhere is in America.
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Then why can't we win a simple war against a few 3rd world nations? I mean come on we've over in the middle east for 4.5 years! WW2 was against three major world powers and it was only about six years long. This stupid war in the middle east has dragged on far to long.
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Because of the emergence of "just war theory" philosophy. For a variety of reasons "The West" has been working to limit civilian casualties in war since the 1950s. In theory this makes us the "good guys".

The problem is that war is a battle of civilizations, and civilians provide for the soldiers. To defeat a civilization, you must attack both the civilians and the soldiers... to crush the will of the entire civilization to fight until they capitulate. This was pretty standard military doctrine around the world up until about the last 50 years.

While avoiding civilian casualties has humanitarian advantages, it directly works against the goal of winning a war. Iraq has what, 27-28 million people? America has killed how many total? 300,000? 500,000? I doubt that many. The war could have been won (although fewer would have had the stomach for the decision, but that's politicians for you) if the US had been willing to inflict about 4 million to 5 million casualties right away. It would have been a harder sell to the American people, to the UN (for as much as that quasi-legal body matters at all), and it is questionable whether the threat Iraq posed even with (putative) WMDs would have been worth taking so much life.

But IF you had simply carpet bombed the country, civilians and military, you would have crushed the people's will to keep fighting. Many people like to refer to Germany or Japan after world war 2, but I think a better example was Rome's final solution to Carthage. After being wiped, Carthage never again revolted. Coming with a gun in one hand and a peace treaty in the other was poor planning, and not the strategy of a military mind. It was perhaps more humanitarian, but seeing the suffering play out... how different would Iraq be if America and Britain had "decimated" (to kill one in ten, a Roman practice to quell revolts. A very EFFECTIVE Roman practice to quell revolts) the Iraqi population (2.8 million casualties) and the rebuilding could have started in earnest 4 years ago?

I'm not saying that Iraq was or was not such a threat that a loss of life on that scale was in America's, or the world's, interests. What I'm saying is, hard though it may be to hear, that is what it would have taken to win. "Shock and Awe" where the US detonated its munitions above the targets (ooh, sparkly) was not a winning strategy... it is like telling your opponent before you start that you won't hit them, you are only going to try and scare them to death. That will never beat a determined foe.


The US military is very powerful, and right now it is the most powerful in the world. This will not be the case forever, so eventually the US will not be the world's superpower. Given topography it will be difficult for an actual invasion to be successful, but that doesn't mean that America - especially if its Navy declines - can't simply be ignored by powerful civilizations.

In fact, until the US - or west in general - finds the fortitude to inflict casualties en masse again, the west will continually lose to guerilla style wars of aggitators and emerging powers. See the whole Russia vs. Chechnya history for a modern example.

To be clear - I'm not making a stand for the beliefs of a political party or country. My interest is as a historian of wars and how "might makes right" effects human relations in the present and throughout history. War is a dirty business. To win, you have to be willing to kill lots and lots and lots of people. Including civilians.

Of course - America should have learned that when Russia rolled into the Kabul, declared themselves the conquers of Afghanistan despite inflicting minor losses on the populace, and then were surprised when everyone kept fighting.

~ Wyndstar
Reply #169 Top
Noting by your avatar Wyndstar, you must be familiar with the Tarkin Doctrine. There is elegance in the simplicity of slaughter.
Reply #170 Top
Total War......not a good idea when you don't want to anger a dozen other nations, beside the one you are fighting. Difficult for the US to have any allies in the middle east if it started decimating the population of the countries they invaded.

Besides, looking at it from an historical and localized view, the Middle East, since the times of the Romans, have never truly being united under one goverment/leader. The people there, historycally, are not easily controlled by any foreigners.
Reply #171 Top
Total War......not a good idea when you don't want to anger a dozen other nations, beside the one you are fighting.
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Weren't they already mad? Total War is how you win wars. There are many books written on how Sherman's march to the Sea where he just butchered southern town after southern town was what really broke the will of the South in the American Civil War. In anyt case, that needed to be part of the calculation before deciding to resume the war after it had been on pause for so long.

Difficult for the US to have any allies in the middle east if it started decimating the population of the countries they invaded.
End of quote


Unless you threaten to decimate them too. According to President Musharafs book, that is exactly what the US government told him to get Pakistan's help in Afghanistan.

Look, I'm not arguing for or against the Iraq war. I'm telling you how it could have been won. Past tense. From where the US is at now, I don't know where they go. But I know what civilizations do to win wars against other civilizations. It is not PC to talk about anymore ("Politically correct" an invention of the 60s).

Besides, looking at it from an historical and localized view, the Middle East, since the times of the Romans, have never truly being united under one goverment/leader. The people there, historycally, are not easily controlled by any foreigners.
End of quote


What about the Ottoman Empire?



Look, people will follow any order, convert to any religion, conform to any morale code... etc. if you kill enough of them first. How many depends (historically speaking) on how different what you are trying to force on them is from what they had. Protestants vs. Catholics during the Renaissance?

Generally speaking, a civilization's will seems to break (from my own research) at about 6% to 12% casualties... although in some cases if you are attempting a radical change you may have to get closer to 20% casualties before the civ's will is broken. REALLY broken. Less casualties and you just lead yourself open for another war later or continued revolution.


The more interesting question is what will the Geneva Convention do to the West if it continues to fail in vigorously destroying its foes. I don't think nuclear weapons are the end of war. I understand the GC's goals are to encourage "gentlemenly wars" that move away from the millions killed during world war 2. However, things like the prohibitions from killing civilians, I think makes following the convention and winning a war at the same time almost impossible. The Convention rightly recognizes that the killing it TAKES to win a war is horrible and should be avoided.

In fact, IF the US falls from becoming a super power soon, it will be (IMO) because it fails to ever actually use its power when seriously under threat because it tries to follow the Convention - combined with an economic collapse due to unchecked inflation and a fluid currency no longer backed by real value. THAT can only happen if the dollar stops being the reserve currency however... which is why the US should be worried about the Euro. Not the EU, just the Euro.


But I'm getting distracted. The point - my response to the original "if we are so great why didn't we..." question is: no matter your country's military ego, it doesn't help you WIN WARS unless you kill people. Millions and millions of people.

If you don't like that, don't get into wars.

~ Wyndstar
Reply #172 Top
CryaniaIV, I dont get what you are saying could you specify?he's saying that phosphorous is a chemical weapon. although, under that definition so are any type of firearm.
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hahah what

if we dropped gunpowder out of planes and it burned people's skin off yeah

your argument is equivalent to saying that because hydrogen cyanide is used in dye that Zyklon-B is not a chemical weapon
Reply #173 Top
Country would do well with out Rep and Dem. We were warned against having political parties, that it would divide us. Anyways, I am all for whigs making a come back, or federalist. ROFL jk.
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It is good that we are divided; it is good that the government is inefficient; it is good that the gears of various departments move slowly and cannot be speed up. It prevents tyrants from being able to take over by "uniting us" behind a single "idea of the moment" and then seizing power over all aspects of the government before cooler heads have an opportunity to take a step back and discuss the ramifications of such actions or have an opportunity to expose the true intentions of said tyrants. Some of the most efficient Governments in the world have been the most tyrannical.

After all the only head of state in the 29th century to keep ALL of his campaign promises was Benito Mussolini.

He was very efficient at making the trains run on time!
He made it a capital offence. If the train was late the train conductor was shot as soon as the train entered the station and was replaced. Exceptions were made for such things as the train broke down, tracks were washed out and there was a wreck. (In which case the trains never made it to the station)

Just imagine what people like Bush and Cheney would have done after 9/11 had they been able to control all aspects of the government at that time.

We would not be having an election now cause;

"It would threaten us to change leadership in the middle of a war"
"Changing leadership now would send the wrong message to the world and to our enemies"
“In time of war the powers of the president are unlimited, any attempt to constrain
the powers of the Presidency in time of war are therefore an act of terrorism”

Even now without the hypotheticals stated above, we all know the controversies we are having concerning the administration’s actions in regards to power, imagine had we had an efficient government that would have enabled them to gain control over all the branches of government before anyone even thought to stand up and say “Now wait just one minute, I have a concern about this”.

Just keep those thought in mind when we scream about government ineffecincy and how slow change is within the gears of government.

also for those who would say that you think that those examples above would have beeen a good thing or have merit, change the statements to something you would NOT want to have hapen and see if you still want efficency after all.
Reply #174 Top
if you guys compare country with a parliament system, be it a european or a UK based system comparing to that of a US presidental system, the ones with a parliament system are more efficient, but lacks slightly with checks and balances in comparison with a presidental system in the US. a good reference is two volumes on call Global convergence of Democracy and Global divergence of Democracy, both edit by Larry Diamond. The balance between having more checks and balances or more efficiency is not an exact science. Even communist countries like Russia or China have checks and balances, but it is just much less than western countries. However having said that, it is probably true that Russia have much more less checks and balances than china, i think in china, the checks and balances are more within the one-party system, more like intra party checks and balances. There are rules for elections to party positions, there are rules governing the proper following of those rules. Besides, china's party is so big, it can be split up with plenty of left overs.
Reply #175 Top
somebody mentioned. America vs china(no nukes included) america looses...us population 300 million. Chinise woman military 400 million. heck if they just start katapulting bodies on us troops they would win.America is and will remain a superpower for some time...but eventually same will happen with them as with all other that wannted uber rule, ala my culture is superior to yours-We are good guys all other needs direction...one will make way too many enemies, politicians will kiss eachother asses and all wars and invasions you started, no matter how much you belive are noble and politically correct will breed contempt against that country nation. I hope us will remain superpower in my liftime, better the devil you know, than...
End of quote


Here is a way for China to take over the world. Please think slowly on this and follow the logic.

1. pass a law making it illegal to have more then two children.
They have this

2. Rather than aborting the "extra" children allow them to be adopted by foreigners and sent to those countries.

They do this

3. Those children grow up in the foreign countries and marry into the dominant ethnic group in that country.

Show me how this would NOT happen

4. We all have a natural tendency to feel more comfortable around that with which we are familiar. If we grow up surrounded by a large percentage of people who are part Chinese we would most likely feel comfortable around people who are from china itself.

Now follow me on this.

Fifty years later
Now within the world politic there is a bit of a struggle (not military mind you, but economic), as too who will basically have over all control of some aspect of trade dominance around the world.

Now the two primary groups that are seeking control in a peaceful manner are as follows

Group one consist of people from an ethnic group from which I know little or nothing, they are nice enough but they look, sound and act different from that to which I am accustomed to.

Group two consist of the Chinese, Yea they sound different than I am used to but they look just like many of the people around me, besides I am part Chinese myself, after all my grandmother was from China & a lot of my friends are also part Chinese. So I say we go with those guys (everything else being equal)


Fifty Years after that

Most of us are part Chinese and share a common ancestry with that country and culture. At the very least many others have an affinity for it. It is time that we start to bring the world together in peace and eliminate a lot of the barriers between us. Let us unite behind one common ideology, let us stop this infighting that has keep us apart for so long. It is time to just bring everyone together and being that most of us are part Chinese I say we allow the shots to be called from Beijing from now on! After all America has had it’s chance as world leader for almost 200 years now and they have not been able to bring us all together! Let’s just try this for awhile, besides, what harm can it do? We are, after all, all part Chinese ourselves! Let us reunite with our heritage!

Just a thought. :NOTSURE: